Events

This time we’ll share stories of when we were surprised by something that happened. As you know, a test of your skill as a rationalist is whether you can avoid being surprised by actual events. And with each story, we’ll discuss: 1) What model led to this being a surprise? 2) Was that a good […]

It hasn’t been long since we did this topic, but I figured we’d do it again what with upcoming festivities and all the visitors that will be descending on the area. Share your recommendations about what you like in the Austin area! *** The meetup is at Central Market, 4001 N. Lamar, in the cafe area. Look

This week’s topic will be “interestingly wrong ideas”, which means “ideas you now regard as wrong, but which you benefited in some way from learning about”. Here is an example from the LessWrong site. To further stimulate your thinking, here are other examples I have from my own life. 1) An article by Douglas Hofstadter

Often times it doesn’t even occur to you that certain things are even an option, even though it’s obvious, at least in hindsight. You can hire a coach on the skill you need! You can buy advertisements! You can ask for help on far more things than you may have thought! We’ll use this meetup

We’re overdue for a session of sharing what we’re working on, where we support each other in our goals and achievements. So at this meetup, we will once again share what we’re working on and use the chance to provide each other with encouragement and advice. Are you building something?  Working toward a fitness goal? Changing careers? Developing a skill? Share what you’re doing! (How does this differ from Group Debugging? The focus is

With recent market gyrations around DeepSeek and nVidia, now is a good a time as any to talk about investment, and how your views on AI relate to it. Is there a way you plan to capture the upside? Are there occupations and investments to avoid? Do you have a hedge against nearer-term crises? Discuss

It’s time once again for calibration practice! Using a series of numerical estimate questions about the real world, see if you can set a 75% confidence interval on the answers such that the correct answer is your interval 75% of the time, no more, no less. As in previous practices, we’ll draw questions from the

Time one again to discuss health and wellness. Share your well-grounded knowledge of diet, exercise, supplements, and habits! LW health topic tag LW exercise topic tag LW well-being topic tag *** The meetup is at Central Market, 4001 N. Lamar, in the cafe area. Look for the LW and SSC signs. People start arriving at 1:30 pm, and the main activity

We’re going to continue last week’s fun with making predictions for 2025. We made this tag, and we’ll keep adding more! *** The meetup is at Central Market, 4001 N. Lamar, in the cafe area. Look for the LW and SSC signs. People start arriving at 1:30 pm, and the main activity (such as it

With the new year comes our tradition of making resolutions and predictions for the next twelve months. We’ll make a label on Manifold and lock in our guesses for 2025! “The native hue of resolution is sicklied o’er with the pale cast of thought” — Hamlet *** The meetup is at Central Market, 4001 N.