Silas Barta

In light of recent craziness in the world of prediction markets, let’s do another session where we review our positions on Manifold and related sites, and compare notes. What contracts seem to me mispriced or have too big a difference across the different sites? Are there markets we want to create? You might want to […]

In light of the presidential debate this week, let’s discuss the practice of debate. How can we make it more capable of discerning truth? What practices are currently followed in public debates that make it bad and determining what is correct? What constraint would you add to make it more productive? *** The meetup is

Coming off the heels of our recent Irrationalist Day, let’s discuss everyday life and whether it lives up to the standard of rationality, which Eliezer Yudkowsky operationalized as “systematized winning“. Are there systematic errors the general population makes? Do people generally do some particular thing wrong, and is it explainable by Moloch effects? Is there

Time once again for calibration practice! Using a series of numerical estimate questions about the real world, see if you can set a 75% confidence interval on the answers such that the correct answer is your interval 75% of the time, no more, no less. As in previous practices, we’ll draw questions from the game

We’re overdue for a session of sharing what we’re working on, where we support each other in our goals and achievements. So at this meetup, we will once again share what we’re working on and use the chance to provide each other with encouragement and advice. Are you building something?  Working toward a fitness goal? Changing careers? Developing a skill? Share

As announced on Scott Alexander’s blog, this Saturday we will be at a different location because we will be hosting the ACX Everywhere Megameetup for Austin! See the LW event page for it, and RSVP to get updates. Date: Saturday, May 25th, 2024 Time: 12 pm; We’ll be there until at least 5pm. Location: The

Time once again to share favorite articles, posts, Twitter threads, and whatever else from LessWrong and the rationalist-sphere. Is there anything recent you think others should stay in the loop on? *** The meetup is at Central Market, 4001 N. Lamar, in the cafe area. Look for the LW and SSC signs. People start arriving

As rationalists, we want to constantly update our worldmodels from our experiences. We’ll use this meetup to share major learning experiences from our lives and ways that we have grown. *** The meetup is at Central Market, 4001 N. Lamar, in the cafe area. Look for the LW and SSC signs. People start arriving at

Time again for group debugging — share what problems you’re running into in life, and see how others can help you, and how you can help others. *** The meetup is at Central Market, 4001 N. Lamar, in the cafe area. Look for the LW and SSC signs. People start arriving at 1:30 pm, and